2020 US Presidential Forecast - September 20

For the first time in the forecast, Joe Biden could win the election by winning every safe and likely state. While national polls have moved slightly towards Trump over the past few weeks, Biden has been getting some pretty good poll results in the states most important to his election. The death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg and the Republican plan to confirm a new nominee before the election have the potential to shake up the race. On the other hand, considering that Biden's lead has been pretty stable despite a very turbulent year, it might be that this event won't change things much either.

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